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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2022-08-15T11:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-08-15T11:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/21203/-1
CME Note: Brightly visible in the far S of SOHO LASCO C3/C3. Not seen in STEREO A COR2 due to data gap. Source signature includes opening field lines and a slow dimming starting around 11:00Z in SDO AIA 193.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-08-18T11:27Z (-9.0h, +9.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:

**************************************************************************************
% Compiled module: EAM
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Most pr. speed =  658.0 km/sec
The EAM version you are running is: v2
u_r =      717.282
Acceleration:      -1.06274
% Compiled module: CALDAT.
Duration in seconds:        258666.29
Duration in days:        2.9938228
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Acceleration of the CME:  -1.06 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  442.4 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 18/08/2022 Time: 11:27 UT
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Lead Time: 28.45 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2022-08-17T07:00Z

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